Decommissioning cost estimate

In view of the negligible contribution of decommissioning costs to LUEC [7.1] (see the discussion in section 6.4), the decommissioning costs were set to zero for all SMR plant configurations estimated in this section.

7.1.3 LUEC estimate

First, the investment component of LUEC for SMR plant configurations was estimated. The calculations were performed2 using formula (6.2) given in Section 6.2.

Next, all LUEC components given in Table A3.6 and Table A3.5 in Appendix 3 were summed yielding the final LUEC estimate in USD/MWh, shown in Table 7.3.

image47,image48,image49,image50,image51,image52

* for 5 % discount rate, USD per kWe. ** at 5% discount rate, USD per MWh.

Investment

cost*

Investment O&M + fuel component of component of LUEC**

LUEC** LUEC**

Подпись: Plant configuration
Подпись: Total electric Plant lifetime output of the Years/ plant (net) MWe Availability
Подпись: PWR-8 twin-unit barge-mounted PWR-35 twin-unit barge-mounted PWR-90(1) single module plant
image53
image54
image55
Подпись: 15.8 70 90
Подпись: 50/80% 24 500-26 200 321-343 31.4 352-374 40/85% 11 800-12 700 148-158 31.4 179-189 60/90% 6 040 70 16.8 87

Table 7.4. LUEC estimates for the various SMR plant configurations (10% discount rate)

Подпись: 604 604 1 340 Подпись: 60/92% 4 120-4 400 47-50 60/92% 4 790-5 320 54-60 60/96% 5 594-6 216 61-67 Подпись: 31.4 78-81 20.9 75-81 22.2 83-90
image154
image56,image57,image58

PWR-90(2) single module plant

90 60/90% 6 150 71 18.3 89

PWR-125 five

625

60/90%

8 085- 8 851

94-102

22.2

116-125

module plant

к ‘

Подпись: Plant configuration
Подпись: Total electric output of the plant (net) MWe SMR of relevance Table 7.1 LUEC estimate at 5% discount rate Table 7.3 USD per MWh Designers’ data on LUEC USD per MWh Ratio LUEC estimate/Designers’ LUEC ABV (Russia) 15.8 192-203 <120 1.6-1.7 70 KLT-40S (Russia) 109-114 49-53 2-2.3 SMART (Korea) 90 52 60 0.9 90 SMART (Korea) 54 60 0.9 mPower (USA) 625 69-73 47-95 0.72-1.6 604 VBER-300 (Russia) 54-55 33 1.6-1.7 VBER-300 (Russia) 604 47-50 35 1.3-1.4 1 340 IRIS (USA) 53-56 34-45 1.2-16
image59,image60,image63,image64
image159
image61 image62

The data from Table 7.5 leads to the following observations:

• The estimates of LUEC are higher than the designers’ data for all plant configurations with PWRs based on the Russian marine derivative designs (by 60-70%, and for the PWR-35 by 100-130%).

• The estimates of LUEC are overlapping the designers’ data for the PWR-125 multi-module plant based on the US mPower design.

• The estimates of LUEC are slightly lower than the designers’ data for the integral type PWR based on the Korean design SMR (by 10%).

• LUEC estimates for the PWR-90 obtained with the two different Korean NPPs with large reactors used as reference are nearly equal.

Assuming that some SMR designers may explicitly include the heat credit in the LUEC values specified for their designs, an evaluation of the possible impact of such an inclusion was performed. The heat credit values for several SMRs were taken from Table 6.12. The ratios of the independent LUEC estimates and the designers’ data on LUEC for the corresponding SMRs from Table 7.5 were then adjusted taking into account the heat credit values, with the results shown in Table 7.6.

Plant configuration

Total electric output of the plant (net) MWe

SMR of relevance

LUEC estimate/Designers’ LUEC Table 7.5, without heat credit

Heat credit Table 6.12

Ratio LUEC

estimate/Designers’ LUEC With heat credit

PWR-8 twin-unit barge-mounted

^0^

15.8

ABV

1.6-1.7

28.3-33.5%*

1.26-1.42

Table 7.6. LUEC estimates for selected SMRs versus the designers’ data at a 5% discount rate (heat

credit taken into account)

PWR-35 twin-unit barge-mounted

70

KLT-40S

2-2.3 28.3-33.5% 1.7-1.96

Подпись: PWR-90(1) single moduleimage65"Подпись: 90Подпись: SMARTПодпись:Подпись: 21.6%Подпись: 0.7

PWR-302 twin — unit land-based

604

VBER-300

1.3-1.4

25-27%

1.03-1.15

PWR-90(2) single module

90 SMART 0.9 21.6% 0.7

* Not available from Table 6.12, considered as equal to PWR-35.

From Table 7.6 one can conclude that:

• With the assumption of a heat credit explicitly included in the LUEC, the LUEC estimates for PWR-90 and PWR-302 show reasonably good agreement with the designers’ data given in Table 4.14. The estimate for PWR-8 is 26-42% higher than the designer’ values.

• No explanation was found for the observed difference between the LUEC estimate for the barge-mounted plants with the two PWR-35 based on the Russian KLT-40S and the designers’ data for this plant. Even with heat credit taken into account the LUEC estimate appears to be 26-96 % higher than the designers’ data.

An important factor affecting the LUEC estimation carried out in this report is parameter n in the scaling law (6.3) discussed in Section 6.2.1. For the estimates presented in Table 7.1 to Table 7.6 of this section the value n = 0.51 was used corresponding to the average[57] from Table 6.6. To evaluate the uncertainty associated with the selection of n, Figure 7.4 graphically represents the difference between the LUEC estimates and the designers’ data on LUEC (maximal values) for different values of the parameter n, ranging from 0.45 to 0.6[58].

Figure 7.4 shows that the LUEC estimates are quite sensitive to the selection of parameter n in the scaling law (6.3) and taking (or not taking) into account the heat credit. If heat credit is not taken into account (where it could apply) the majority (5 out of 8) of the independent LUEC estimates are significantly higher compared to the designers’ data on LUEC. If heat credit is taken into account, the majority (5 out of 8) of the independent LUEC estimates envelope the designers’ data on the LUEC.

The independent LUEC estimates obtained in this section (Table 7.3) are used in Section 7.2 to evaluate the deployment potential of SMRs in a number of electricity and electricity and heat markets around the world.

Figure 7.4. Difference (in %) between estimated LUEC and the designers’ maximal values for LUEC at

different values of n ranging from 0.45 to 0.6.

200

Подпись: □ Estimated LUECПодпись: 150Подпись: О CJ) CD 100 Подпись: 0Подпись: ■ Heat creditПодпись: PWR-8 twin- PWR-35 twin- PWR-90(1) PWR-90(2) PWR-125, five PWR-302 twin- PWR-302 twin- PWR-335, two unit barge unit barge single module single module units unit barge unit land based twin-units mounted mounted plant plant mounted image66Подпись: -50"(Л

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