Study Conventions

Throughout this report, pipe sizes are referenced by nominal pipe size (NPS), which indicates standard pipe size without an inch symbol. The smallest pipe size considered in this study is NPS3-% (Plant A. b). All references to specific material types are made according to designations by the American Society for Testing and Materials (ASTM). The term “weld failure” is used to indicate a rejectable (non-through-wall or through — wall) flaw.

During the NRC LOCA Elicitation Kick-off Meeting [D.1], a LOCA was defined as “a breach of the reactor coolant pressure boundary which results in a leak rate greater than 380 lpm (100 gpm).” Instead of using the traditional (or historical) LOCA size classes (small — medium — large) that are based on break size, this study uses LOCA sizes that are based on leak rate threshold values as indicated in Table D. 1 (adapted from [D. 1 ]) and Table D.2.

Table D.1 LOCA Size Classification Threshold Values

LOCA

Category

Flow Rate (v) Thresholds gpm (lpm)

Comment

0

v > 10 (38)

Cat0 corresponds to a pressure boundary failure (breach) resulting in a leakage exceeding the T. S. limit for identified leakage.

1

v > 100 (380)

Breach in piping of up to 1.8-inch diameter (BWR), and 1.7-inch diameter (PWR); see Table D.3.

2

v > 1,500 (5,700)

Breach in piping of up to 3.3-inch diameter (BWR), and 3-inch diameter (PWR)

3

v > 5,000 (19,000)

Breach in piping of up to 7.3-inch diameter (BWR), and 6.8-inch diameter (PWR)

4

v > 25,000 (95,000)

Breach in piping of up to 18.4-inch diameter (BWR), and 14-inch diameter (PWR)

5

v > 100,000 (380,000)

Breach in NPS28 RR piping (BWR) yields on the order of 230,000 gpm. Breach in RCS hot leg piping of up to 31-inch diameter.

6

v > 500,000 (1,900,000)

Applies to PWR RCS-HL base case only, and only for a relatively short time following a postulated DEGB

Table D.2 Estimated Flow Rates from Restrained Double-Ended Guillotine Break (DEGB)2

Pipe Size [NPS]

Restrained DEGB (Plant A — PWR)

Restrained DEGB (Plant B — BWR)

Break Size [sq. in.]

Press.

[psig]

Max. Flow Rate [gpm]

Break Size [sq. in.]

Press.

[psig]

Max. Flow Rate [gpm]

1

.41

2250

540

.41

1250

467

2

1.65

2250

2158

1.65

1250

1869

4

6.60

2250

8633

6.60

1250

7476

6

14.84

2250

19424

14.84

1250

16823

8

26.39

2250

32280

26.39

1250

29908

12

59.37

2250

72495

59.37

1250

42411

14

80.81

2250

98624

80.81

1250

57698

22

199.54

2250

243542

199.54

1250

142478

28

323.22

2250

394497

323.22

1250

230790

30

371.05

2250

452867

N/A

2 Technical basis for leak rate calculation is documented in an attachment to Minutes of Meeting (2nd Elicitation Meeting), Bethesda (MD), June 4-5, 2003.

The estimation of weld failure rates uses Bayesian reliability analysis methodology, and involves the development of prior and posterior failure rate distribution. In this study the term ‘prior’ refers to piping reliability characteristics before the implementation of industry programs to mitigate or eliminate susceptibilities to certain degradation mechanisms. The term ‘posterior’ refers to observed or expected reliability characteristics after reliability improvement actions have been implemented.