Presentation #4 — Piping Base Case Evaluation I By Bengt Lydell

Bengt used a bottoms up evaluation based on operating experience.

Markov is standard approach common to any advanced reliability approach; this was the technical basis used by Bengt to develop time dependency.

Bengt’s model allows for imperfect repairs or inspections.

Can go from S (unflawed condition) to R (rupture condition) if have some extraordinary event such as gas accumulation at Hamaoka in Japan.

VG13 results are per “weld year”; some of earlier plots are “per reactor year”.