Baseline LOCA Determination I

Discussion: Rob Tregoning commented that the panel needed to define baseline LOCA frequencies in order to benchmark relative responses during the elicitation. He also mentioned that the SKI-PIPE database could be used to develop baseline frequencies if the group could develop well-defined “base case(s)”. The base case(s) will represent a set of conditions and physical phenomena. In theory, the absolute LOCA frequencies associated with each base case are not important for the elicitation session because all elicitation responses will be judged relative to the base case conditions. The absolute frequencies are only required to reconstruct the final results. However, the panel members decided that their elicitation responses might change depending on the exact LOCA frequencies associated with the base case conditions. That is, if a base case frequency was 10-8/year, the elicitation responses might be quite different than if the frequency was 10-2/year. The group therefore agreed that they will define rigorous conditions for each base case and also associate absolute LOCA frequencies with these conditions.