Case study for EPZ and economic optimization

The series of various studies were carried out in order to answer the question what energy sources should replace the lost nuclear electricity capacities (IAEA-TECDOC-1408, 2004; IAEA-TECDOC-1541, 2007). Currently all Baltic region countries cooperating and seeking to solve energy supply and energy security problems and planning to construct new nuclear reactors in Lithuania at existing NPP site. The last Ignalina Unit 2 RBMK-1500 was closed in the end of 2009 and Lithuania is considering both nuclear and fossil options for its replacement. In order to expand the research of the Lithuanian energy future another option to the analysis is also added: small and medium type nuclear reactor in the new site close to the cities with large heat demand. In general, it could be considered for small countries as alternative for the big nuclear units due to limitation imposed by the grid size and available financial resources.

The results of various studies concerning the future structure of power plants in Lithuanian energy system have showed that looking from the economical point of view the best options to replace Ignalina NPP are new nuclear unit or new combined cycle condensing units together with the existing and new units of Combined Heat and Power plants (CHP) (IAEA — TECDOC-1408, 2004; Norvaisa, 2005). Due to climate conditions in Lithuania, district heating presents a notable fraction of energy consumption in winter months, and infrastructure for its use is already in place in population centers in Lithuania. District heating is widely used in Lithuania (46% of total heat consumption), and the cities of Vilnius and Kaunas comprise the two largest consumers of district heat supply (see Table 1). So, in the future new cogeneration units are likely to be the best alternative for electricity and heat generation in Lithuania.

District heat (DH) supply:

Fuel structure:

Total DH supply

GWh

9300

Natural gas

%

74

DH supply in Vilnius

GWh

3000

Renewables

%

19

DH supply in Kaunas

GWh

1600

Oil

%

5.5

Losses in DH

%

16

other

%

1.5

Table 1. Lithuanian district heating (DH) sector in 2009

Among the nuclear alternatives the 330 MW(e) IRIS-like reactor was used for the conceptual investigation, as it could be operated in either the electricity only or the co-generation mode. Thus, a case study was conducted to determine the best way to provide the electricity and district heat in Lithuania up to year 2025 and to assess the tactical implications that a reduced-radius emergency planning zone might have on least cost planning with the IRIS­like reactor operating in the electricity only versus the electricity/district heat (co­generation) mode (Norvaisa & Alzbutas, 2009).

The length of any newly required hot water/steam pipelines into the cities of Vilnius and Kaunas will depend on the radius of the emergency planning zone emplaced around the IRIS-like reactor site; these pipelines represent a cost due to construction and a cost due to heat losses. Both costs increase with the pipeline length and, thereby, affect the viability of the co-generation mode. The case study was conducted parametrically for pipeline lengths of 0.5, 5, 15, and 30 km.