Risk zoning practices

In fact, in the context of some severe external events, the assumption of continued availability of infrastructure required to administer emergency measures (for example roads and bridges) may not be valid. Under such situation, it is more effective to enhance the quality of the other levels of defence in depth. There is therefore, a need to define the scope of off-site emergency planning activities for advanced reactors, consistent with the ability of these reactor designs to meet enhanced safety objectives.

In some cases, such as the presence of a nearby airport, the consideration of the hazards may change risk zoning or eliminate a site from further consideration for an NPP, but most external hazards are either screened out from the necessity of being considered further or are taken into account in plant designing and siting. Risk zoning and siting is a matter for:

• The uncertainties of risk measures and influence to the public perception;

• Economic consideration (where power is needed, the availability of existing grid);

• Social and political factors;

• Topography affecting the dispersion of radio-nuclides through the atmosphere, rivers and ground-water;

• Political and safety consideration;

• Demographic characteristics;

• Hazards (natural and manmade).

Some IAEA Member States only address the risk to an individual member of the public, others have requirements to consider the potential aggregated effects to the population as a whole — societal risk.

Usually, off-site emergency measures are still seen as part of the Defence in Depth approach, which is mainly understood in deterministic sense, but to take full advantage of new reactor designs it should be moved towards a more probabilistic approach based on risk assessment with sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. The full benefit of innovative and evolutionary NPP requires the ability to licence without the need of an off-site Emergency Planning Zone.

In general, the desirability or possibility of reducing emergency response plans for accidents depends not only on the reactor type but also on a number of complex and intertwined factors including technical, societal, economical and cultural. The subject cannot be coupled directly and solely to the requirements for the external events but requires a separate consideration. Under the same subject also the risk-informed decision making related to the design basis accidents and severe accidents may be considered with the intent of moving away from somehow postulated risk zones and towards clearly calculated risk zones. Without such a change, related procedures and criteria, the issue of the emergency response plans cannot be resolved. In particular, in order to deal with external events and apply the risk-informed approach for plant design and siting, it is desirable to couple the PRA with analysis techniques of civil engineering.