Category Archives: EuroSun2008-13

Mapping Solar Radiation in Southern Spain using residual kriging

H. ALSAMAMRA*, J. A. RUIZ-ARIAS, D. POZO-VAZQUEZ and J. TOVAR-PESCADOR

MATRAS Group, Department of Physics, Campus Lagunillas, 23071, University of Jaen, Spain
* Corresponding Author, husain@,uiaen. es

Abstract

This study presents a comparative analysis of the ordinary and residual kriging methods for mapping, on a 1 km by 1 km grid size, monthly-averaged daily global radiation (H) in the horizontal surface in Andalusia (Southern Spain). The experimental dataset includes four year (2003-2006) of data collected at 166 stations. Overall, the ordinary kriging methods proved to be able to provide fair estimates: RMSE ranging 1.63 MJ m’2day_1 (6.2%) in June to around 1.44 MJ m’2day_1 (11.2%) in October. In the residual kriging procedure, we propose the use of an external explanatory variable that accounts for topographic shadows cast, and that is able to explain between 15% and 45% of the spatial variability. Based in this variable, residual kriging estimates shows a relative improvement in RMSE values ranging from 5% in the summer months to more than 20% in the autumn and winter months. Particularly, RMSE values of the residual kriging estimates ranges from 1.44 MJ m’2day_1 (5.5%) in June to around 1.31 MJ m’2day_1 (10.2 %) in October. It is finally concluded that the proposed residual kriging method is particularly valuable when mapping complex topography areas.

Keywords: GIS, Kriging, Global Solar Radiation, Andalusia (Southern Spain).

1. Introduction

The interpolation techniques were the first methodologies used for mapping climate variables, such as the solar radiation. These techniques allow obtaining spatially continuous databases from isolated-stations measurements based on spatially interpolation methods. The reliability of interpolation techniques are strongly dependent on the sample size [1]. Particularly, ordinary kriging may provide reliable estimates of climate variables, as the solar radiation, in homogeneous terrain with similar climate characteristics. Nevertheless, the reliability of the estimates decreases when the complexity of the topography increases, or when an earth-sea interface is present. In such cases, stochastic interpolation processes may not provide meaningful spatially-continuous estimates, since point-specific measurements can be affected by strong local variation. For the solar radiation, particularly, complex topography areas present a challenge. Variability in elevation, surface orientation (slope and aspect), and shadows cast by topographic features can create strong local gradients in the solar radiation that interpolation processes may not properly account for.

Many techniques have been proposed to overcome this weakness of the kriging interpolation processes. These techniques allows to take into account, prior or during the interpolation process, external variables, that may provide complementary information for the interpolation and, therefore, compensate for the lack of data and the scarce sample size [2]. These external variables may be used locally or in the whole study area and, in most the cases, are related to geographical of

topographical characteristics. There are different ways in which the external variables can be taken into account in the kriging process. For instance, the information coming from the external variables can be considered during the interpolation process. An example of this methodology is the cokriging. This method is advantageous when the external variable is highly correlated to the studied variable, but becomes very complex when more than one covariables are considered [3] Instead of including the external information directly in the kriging process, it is possible to consider it during a first step, prior to the interpolation itself. There are different denominations for this technique, as ‘kriging with a guess field’ [3] or ‘residual kriging’ [4]. We will use this last denomination hereinafter. Basically, in a first step, a multiple linear regression is fitted between the variable of interest and some external explanatory variables. Then, an ordinary kriging procedure is applied to the residuals of this multiple regression analysis. Finally, a map is obtained integrating both the multiple regression and the kriging results. This technique, although relatively simple, is powerful, since allows including in an easy way multiple sources of external information in the interpolation procedure that may compensates for the small sample size. In this work we present an application of the residual kriging methodology for mapping monthly-averaged daily global radiation in horizontal surface in Andalusia (Southern Spain). The ordinary kriging method is also applied, to evaluate the improvement provided by the residual kriging method. The region of study is characterized by a wide range of topographic and climatic characteristic, which allows evaluating the influence of different external variables in the interpolation of the solar radiation.

2. Methodology

Material and methods

The meteorological and climatic features of Galicia are monitored by a network made up by 93 weather stations, located all over the region covering the usual meteorological parameters. Ten — minute averaged data were collected for both monitoring and climatic studies. The network is managed by MeteoGalicia, the Galician weather service (www. meteogalicia. es). Currently, 25 stations provide the solar radiation measurements with Ph. Schenk first class pyranometers (Philipp Schenk GmbH Wien & Co KG, Wien, Austria) and Kipp & Zonen sunshine duration sensors (Kipp & Zonen, Delft, The Netherlands) located in the most representative sites of Galicia. These sensors are periodically cleaned and calibrated by specialized crew, following the manufacturer’s recommendations. Data are collected by dataloggers, sent to a central data server and stored in a database specifically designed for environmental data sets. Here, several filters are applied to ensure the data quality [6, 7].

Подпись: Fig. 1: Geographical location of Galicia in the European continent and localization of the weather stations involved in this work

Since the solar radiation network was gradually set up, eight stations count on a data set longer than five years. The main features of these stations are listed on Table 1, while geographical location is illustrated in Fig. 1.

In this work, the analysis has been focused on the trend of the values of global radiation, sunshine duration and clearness index KT. Other meteorological parameters that are relevant for the solar resource characterization (temperature, relative humidity and precipitation) have also been considered. Finally, monthly and yearly values of global solar irradiation measured in the meteorological stations have been compared with the results obtained by Vazquez et al. [4].

The clearness index has been evaluated by the ratio G/G0, where G is the ground measured irradiation and G0 is the extraterrestrial irradiation. For this purpose, a solar constant value of 1376 Wm-2 was adopted, as recommended by Davies [8]. Astronomical relationships were obtained following Iqbal [9].

Station

Latitude

Longitude

Altitude

(m)

Environment

Data Record

CIS-Ferrol

43.48° N

8.23° W

35

Subrban, Coastal

9/01-9/06

Lourizan

42.43° N

8.63° W

60

Urban, Coastal

6/01-10/06

Pedro

Murias

43.54° N

7.03° W

45

Rural, Coastal

7/01-10/06

Alto do Rodicio

42.30° N

7.59° W

962

Rural, Interior

7/01-10/06

Ancares

42.82° N

6.92° W

1365

Rural, Interior

8/01-10/06

Monte

Aloia

42.08° N

8.68° W

480

Rural, Interior

4/01-10/06

Corrubedo

42.56° N

9.03° W

30

Rural, Coastal

5/01-10/06

Sergude

42.82° N

8.46° W

230

Rural, Interior

9/01-10/06

Table 1: Main features of the meteorological stations analysed.

3. Results

Lyapunov exponents

Chaotic dynamical systems are predictable for finite time scales, but not for infinite ones. Let consider two initial states of the system with almost identical initial conditions. Their trajectories in the phase space will move apart, given a metric, at an exponential rate while moving on an attractor. This rate is described by the largest Lyapunov exponent in the system, ^max. If any Lyapunov exponent is positive, the system will be chaotic by definition. Yet, should one of them be zero, the system can be described by a set of ordinary differential equations [10].

Figure 6 shows the d Lyapunov exponents for the differenced time series as a function of the number of samples following the suggested algorithm by Sano and Sawada [11]. The main interest in this test is to find Lyapunov exponents greater or equal than zero. The two Lyapunov exponents exhibited by the time series are negative and thus, this time series cannot be considered coming from a chaotic dynamical system neither be described by a set of differential equations.

image127

Fig. 6. Lyapunov exponents against the number of samples.

4. Conclusions

The global solar radiation data were measured at the radiometric station of the University of Almeria (Spain) during eight years. Results have shown the non-existence of any attractor in the phase space for the global irradiance time series. Negative Lyapunov exponents exclude a chaotic behaviour that might allow a better short term prediction than autorregresive models, and the idea of the existence of a nonlinear differential equation system. These results match with those

obtained from applying local linear models for prediction, of which estimations suggest that the data are best described by a linear stochastic process.

Acknowledgements

This work was supported by the project ENE2007-67849-C02-02 of the Ministerio de Ciencia y Tecnologia of Spain.

References

[1] R. Festa, S. Jain, C. F. Ratto, Renewable Energy 2 (1992) 23.

[2] J. Boland, Solar Energy 55 (1995) 377.

[3] H. Morf, Solar Energy 62 (1998) 101.

[4] E. N. Lorenz, J. Atmos. Sci. 20 (1963) 130.

[5] L. Alados-Arboledas, F. J. Batlles, F. J. Olmo, Solar Energy 54 (1995) 183.

[6] F. Takens, (1981). Dynamical Systems and Turbulence, Lecture Notes in Math, Springer-Verlag, Berlin.

[7] A. M. Fraser and H. L. Swinney, Phys. Rev. A, 33 (1986) 1134.

[8] R. Hegger, H. Kantz, and T. Schreiber, Chaos, 9 (1999) 413.

[9] M. B. Kennel, R. Brown, and H. D.I. Abarbanel, Phys. Rev. A, 45 (1992) 3403.

[10] M. Casdagli, J. Roy. Stat. Soc., 54 (1991) 303.

[11] M. Sano and Y. Sawada, Phys. Rev. Lett., 55 (1987) 1082.

[12] J. D. Farmer and J. J. Sidorowich, Phys. Rev. Lett., 59 (1987) 845.

Management and Exploitation of Solar Resource Knowledge

C. Hoyer-Klick1*, H. G. Beyer2, D. Dumortier3, M. Schroedter-Homscheidt4, L. Wald5, M.
Martinoli6, C. Schilings1, B. Gschwind5, L. Menard5, E. Gaboardi6, L. Ramirez-Santigosa7, J.
Polo7, T. Cebecauer8,T. Huld8, M. Suri8, M. de Blas9, E. Lorenz10, R. Pfatischer11, J. Remund12, P.

Ineichen13, A. Tsvetkov14, J. Hofierka15

1 German Aerospace Center (DLR), Institute of Technical Thermodynamics, Pfaffenwaldring 38-40, 70569

Stuttgart, Germany

2 Hochschule Magdeburg-Standal, Germany. 3Ecole Nationale des Travaus Publics de l’Etat (ENTPE), France
4 German Aerospace Center, German Remote Sensing Data Center, Germany 5 Ecole des Mines de Paris, France
6 Icons srl., Italy 7 CIEMAT, Spain 8 European Commission, Joint Research Center, Institute for Energy, Italy
9 Universidad Publica de Navarra, Spain 10 Oldenburg University, Energy — and Semiconductor Research Lab,
Germany 11 meteocontrol GmbH, Germany 12 Meteotest, Switzerland 13 University of Geneva, Switzerland
14 Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory, World Radiation Data Center, Russia
15 University of Presov, Slovakia

Corresponding Author, carsten. hoyer-klick@dlr. de

Abstract

Knowledge of the solar energy resource is essential for the planning and operation of solar energy systems. In past years there has been substantial European and national funding to develop information systems on solar radiation data, leading to the situations that several data bases exist in parallel, developed by different approaches, various spatial and temporal coverages and resolutions including those exploiting satellite data. The user of these products may end up with different results for the same requested sites. To better guide the users, a benchmarking exercise is under preparation. A set of reference data has been collected and benchmarking measures and rules have been defined. The results of the benchmarking and the feedback from stakeholders will be integrated into a guide of best practices in the application of solar resource knowledge. Access to data has been quite fragmented. Each service has its own way of access to the data and delivery format. A new broker portal based on the experience of the project Soda aims to unify and ease the access to distributed data sources and applications providing solar resource information.

Keywords: Solar resource information, benchmarking, access to data, user guidance

1. Introduction

Knowledge of the solar energy resource is essential for the planning and operation of solar energy systems. In past years there has been substantial funding from the European Commission to develop information systems on solar radiation data, such as the European Solar Radiation Atlas (ESRA), the projects SoDa, Satel-Light, PVGIS, PVSAT, PVSAT-2 or Heliosat-3 and the Envisolar project of the European Space Agency (ESA). In addition national services were set up as Meteonorm by Meteotest in Switzerland and SOLEMI by DLR in Germany. The information on available databases and
integrated systems has been summarised and later updated in [1,2]. From the regional point of view, the projects focused mainly on Europe or its regions, leading to the situation that several different data bases exist in parallel developed by different approaches, various spatial and temporal coverages and different resolutions including those exploiting satellite data. The users comparing information from different data sources for the requested sites may end up with uncertainty that is difficult to deal with.

Large steps forward have been made for the benefit of research, renewable energy industry, policy making and the environment. Nevertheless, these multiple efforts have led to a fragmentation and uncoordinated access: different sources of information and solar radiation products are now available, but uncertainty about their quality remains. At the same time, communities of users lack common understanding how to exploit the developed knowledge.

The project MESoR started in June 2007 and aims at removing the uncertainty and improving the management of the solar energy resource knowledge. The results of past and present large-scale initiatives in Europe, will be integrated, standardised and disseminated in a harmonised way to facilitate their effective exploitation by stakeholders. The project will contribute to preparation of the future roadmap for R&D and strengthening the European position in the international field.

The project includes activities in user guidance (benchmarking of models and data sets; handbook of best practices), unification of access to information (use of advanced information technologies; offering one-stop-access to several databases), connecting to other initiatives (INSPIRE of the EU, POWER of the NASA, SHC and PVPS of the IEA, GMES/GEO) and to related scientific communities (energy, meteorology, geography, medicine, ecology), and information dissemination (stakeholders involvement, future R&D, communication).

First Steps in the Cross-Comparison of Solar Resource. Spatial Products in Europe

M. Suri1*, J. Remund2, T. Cebecauer1, D. Dumortier3, L. Wald4, T. Huld1 and P. Blanc4

1 European Commission, Joint Research Centre, Institute for Energy,

Renewable Energies Unit, via E. Fermi 2749, TP 450, I-21027 Ispra (VA), Italy
2 Meteotest, Fabrikstrasse 14, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland
3 Ecole Nationale des Travaux Publics d’Etat, Departement Genie Civil et Batiment,

URA CNRS 1652, Rue Maurice Audin, F-69518 Vaulx-en-Velin, Cedex, France
4 MINES ParisTech, Centre Energetique et Procedes, BP 207, 06904 Sophia Antipolis Cedex, France

* Corresponding Author, marcel. suri@jrc. it

Abstract

Yearly sum of global irradiation is compared from six spatial (map) databases: ESRA, PVGIS, Meteonorm, Satel-Light, HelioCliom-2, and NASA SSE. This study does not identify the best database, but in a relative cross-comparison it points out to the areas of higher variability of outputs. Two maps are calculated to show an average of the yearly irradiation for horizontal surface together with the standard deviation that illustrates the combined effect of differences between the databases at the regional level. Differences at the local level are analysed on a set of 37 randomly selected points: global irradiation is calculated from subset of databases for southwards inclined (at 34°) and 2-axis tracking surfaces. Differences at the regional level indicate that within 90% of the study area the uncertainty of yearly global irradiation estimates (expressed by standard deviation) does not exceed 7% for horizontal surface, 8.3% for surface inclined at 34°, and 10% for 2-axis tracking surface. Higher differences in the outputs from the studied databases are found in complex climate conditions of mountains, along some coastal zones and in areas where solar radiation modelling cannot rely on sufficient density and quality of input data.

Keywords: solar radiation database, maps, benchmarking

1. Introduction

Solar energy technologies and energy simulation of buildings need high quality climatic data in the phase of localisation (siting), design, financing, and system operation and management. The choice of the best technological option depends among other things on the geographic region, as the performance of solar energy systems is influenced by solar resource and other climate parameters.

Several spatial databases of solar resource information are now available as a result of European and national projects. They have been developed from various data inputs, covering different time periods, where diverse approaches have been applied. Although quality assessments of the individual databases have been performed, no inter-comparison of the outputs was performed. When comparing various data sources, differences show up which is confusing, especially to users who are not fully aware of the uncertainties and the limits of data application. Therefore, better understanding of the geographic distribution and variability of solar resource in Europe is needed.

In this contribution we open a complex issue of benchmarking the solar radiation databases and underlying models for deriving information relevant to energy technology. We focus on a comparison of six spatial databases and integrated systems that offer solar resource and climate

data and energy-related services for Europe: Meteonorm [1], ESRA [2], Satel-Light [3], NASA SSE/RETScreen [4], HelioClim/SoDa [5], and PVGIS [6]. This list is not exhaustive, and in future also other databases may be considered, including those that cover smaller regions. We compare yearly sum of global irradiation as obtained by querying each database. Map analysis compares horizontal irradiation, while on a set of 37 randomly selected points we compare irradiation received by inclined and 2-axis tracking surfaces.

Meteorological data. Meteorological station “Frunze”

The central administrative board on hydrometeorology of the Ministry of Emergencies of the Kyrgyz Republic is entitled to measure meteorological and hydrological data in the Kyrgyz Republic. There are in total 31 weather stations and 75 hydrological stations. One of the weather stations “Frunze” is situated in the west part of Bishkek. The measurement equipment is remained from the USSR period. An actual value of global and diffuse solar radiation is measured 5 times a day at 6.30, 9.30, 12.30, 15.30 and 18.30. Till 1993 daily solar irradiation on horizontal surface was measured by an integrator. This device is, however, absent since 1993 for technical reasons. Therefore, since 1993 daily solar irradiation is estimated by linear interpolation of solar radiation between 5 measured points taking into account the time of sunrise and sunset (the so-called trapezium method). The central administrative board on hydrometeorology claims the accuracy of this method to be in the range of 10% for monthly sums of solar radiation.

Modeling and Analysis of Chinese Exposure to Solar Radiation Based on the Available Meteorological Data at CMA, China

Yu Qiang1* and Wang Zhifeng2

1,2 Institute of Electrical Engineering, CAS P. O.BOX 2703 Beijing 100190, China Corresponding Author, yuqiang1984@mail. iee. ac. cn

Abstract

The distribution of solar radiation is very important for choosing sites for solar power tower plants. In this paper the observed data which include solar radiation and sunshine duration of eight typical cities of China during the period 1994-2003 are used to establish a correlation equation between monthly average daily values of clearness and relative sunshine. The model is used to estimate the global solar radiation of the whole country. And it is proved to be good results (greater than 94% in most cases). The predictive efficiency of this model is also compared with some other models which are believed to be applicable globally in terms of mean percentage error (MPE), mean bias error (MBE) and root mean square error (RMSE). And the results prove that it is also better than that of those models.

Key Words: global solar radiation, sunshine duration, MBE, MABE, RMSE.

1. Introduction

The design of a solar energy conversion system must always start with a study of solar radiation data at a site. One of the most important requirements in the design is the information on the intensity of solar radiation at a given location [1]. Unfortunately, there are very few meteorological stations that measure global solar radiation. Solar radiation data are still very scarce, especially in developing countries. So we must consider other methods to calculate relative solar data for places where they are not directly measured, many attempts have been made to develop models and empirical correlations that can predict the amount of solar radiation available at a given location from a few input parameters.

While it has been proved that a number of commonly measurable atmospheric and meteorological parameters such as turbidity, relative humidity, degree of cloudiness, temperature and sunshine duration taken severally or jointly, affect the magnitude of the global radiation incident on a given location. And the preponderance of data point to the fact that the greatest influence is exerted by sunshine hours.

There are several correlations [2-7] to have been developed that predict the correlation between the global radiation and the percentage of bright sunshine hours in a simple linear regression form (the Angstrom-Prescott type). And some authors have also developed quadratic correlation [2, 4, 6] model and multiple linear regression. The study of this paper is to establish a linear regression form which uses the data of eight typical cities of China for estimation global solar radiation for the cities where there are no meteorological stations but have similar meteorological conditions.

Materials, methods and models

In the present work the solar radiation is forecasted with the non-hydrostatic model Advanced Regional Prediction System (ARPS). This model is providing its forecast weather variables for a horizontal grid of (0.12 x 0.12)° resolution with a sampling interval of 10 min. The model is simulated at the LEPTEN laboratory (Laboratory of Energy Conversion Process Engineering and Energy Technology), former LABSOLAR, at the Federal University of Santa Catarina. The simulation assimilates the data of the global reanalysis delivered by the National Center for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) [12]. The analysis data characterize the initial condition at every 6 h, necessary to operate ARPS in actual time. The reanalysis data represent improved analysis data of the atmosphere. Both the analysis and reanalysis data are based on atmospheric measurements and their interpolations, as well as on the last forecasts of the GFS, which can accomplish forecasts until a ten days horizon. The operational forecast uncertainty includes both the analysis and the forecast uncertainty. In the present article only the uncertainty based on the reanalysis are verified. Therefore the reanalysis data, based on the GFS model, is assimilated with the regional ARPS model in a 6 h interval. For the uncertainty verification the 24 h mean value of the downward short wave radiation of the ARPS output is compared to the measured mean value of the global radiation. In a second step a statistical correction for the reanalysis uncertainty is accomplished. In the text that follows the daily energy E [Wh/m2] is equal to the daily mean radiation H [W/m2] multiplied by 24 hours.

Ordinary kriging

Kriging refers to a family of least-square linear regression algorithms that attempt to predict values of a variable at locations where data are not available based on the spatial pattern of the available data. The description of kriging theory and its application are given in detail by [5]. A semivariogram, y(h) represents the spatial variability in the data and is defined as Eq. (1):

1 N(h) 2

Y(h) = E [Z(xj + h) — Z(x )]2, (1)

2N(h) 7=1

where N(h) is the number of pairs of points separated by lag distance h, Z(x) and Z(x+h) are random values at locations x and x+h.

In this study, the exponential model have been used to fit the sample semivariograms, this model parameterizes the semivariogram in the following way:

Y(h) = C0 + C1 [1 — exp(-h / a)], (2)

where C0, Cj, a are called nugget, sill, and range respectively.

The objective of ordinary kriging procedure is to estimate data values at unsampled locations x0 using information available elsewhere in the domain (x1, x2,……………………………………………………………………………………………… , xn) . This can be carried out

by expressing Z(x0)as a linear combination of the data Z(x1), Z(x2),…………………… Z(xn) :

Подпись:Z(x0) = EX7Z (x0).

The optimal weights “ A7 ” are calculated assuming that the estimation Z(x0) by Z(x0) is

unbiased, that is, the expected value of the estimates is the same as that of the known data. The

n

condition needed for unbiased estimator is 2 A = 1.

7=1 7

Monthly-averaged daily data

Подпись: 0

Figures 2 and 3 show the annual variation of global irradiation and sunshine hours for the stations considered in this work. Generally, they show a regular annual variation with a maximum between June and July and a minimum in December. The only exception is represented by the station of Pedro Murias, which has a maximum in May and a relative minimum in June. As expected, the highest value of global insolation is found at Ancares, due to its altitude and rural location. The evolution of the sunshine hours shows a similar trend, with maxima occurring in summertime and minima in winter.

image088

Table 2 summarizes these results. Having a look at the mean values of insolation and sunshine hours, Corrubedo has the highest values. It should be noticed that this site, which is located at only 38 km west from Lourizan, has mean sunshine hours and insolation significantly higher than Lourizan, 1 hour and 2 MJ m-2, respectively. The two stations located in an urban environment (Lourizan and Ferrol) are characterized by similar levels of insolation and sunshine hours.

Fig.3: Monthly average daily sunshine hours for the stations analysed

On table 3 are represented the main features of the yearly and monthly mean values of temperature, precipitations and relative humidity. The trend of the temperature is similar in all the locations, with maxima in August and minima in February.

Table 2: Monthly and yearly averaged daily values of Insolation and Sunshine Hours in the stations.

Mean

Max

Min

Mean

Max

Min

Station

Insolation

Insolation

Insolation

Sunshine

Sunshine

Sunshine

(kJ m-2)

(kJ m-2)

(kJ m-2)

Hours

Hours

Hours

Ferrol

12446

20307 Jun

4069 Dec

5.6

8.5 Jul

2.7 Dec

Lourizan

11898

20383 Jun

4194 Dec

5.7

9.1 Jul

2.8 Dec

P. Murias

10511

16628 May

3754 Dec

4.7

6.5 May

2.3 Jan

Alto

Rodicio

12687

20962 Jun

4444 Dec

5.9

8.8 Jul

3.1 Dec

Monte

Aloia

12545

20697 Jun

5013 Dec

6.0

8.5 Jul

3.6 Jan

Corrubedo

13842

22807 Jun

5185 Dec

6.6

9.6 Jun

3.5 Dec

Ancares

13805

23748 Jul

5264 Dec

6.0

9.7 Jul

3.3 Dec

Sergude

10629

18562Jul

3809 Dec

5.3

8.1 Jul

2.3 Dec

As it was already mentioned, mean precipitations are higher than the rest of Spain [10]. The highest values are found in Monte Aloia, due to the westerly air masses with high water content that

channel into the outfall of Mino river and ascend to the slope of the local mountain range, Sierra do Galineiro. In all the stations, maxima occur in October and minima in summertime.

Ferrol

Lourizan

Murias

Rodicio

Aloia

Corrubedo

Ancares

Sergude

14.2

14.8

13.8

10.2

12.7

14.8

8.4

13.5

23.7

Aug

26.3 Aug

22.5

Aug

22.7 Jul

24.1

Aug

23.3 Aug

20.1 Aug

25.9

Aug

7.2 Feb

5.8 Feb

6.4 Feb

2.3 Feb

5.4

Feb

8.6 Feb

0 Feb

4.3 Feb

82

77

88

84

79

82

79

84

85 Oct

83 Dec

92 Jun

91 Nov

87

Oct

88 Oct

87 Oct

90 Jan

79 Apr

73 Jun

84 Apr

77 Aug

75

Aug

72 Jun

72 Jun

78 Aug

1225

1574

918

1108

2097

1032

1406

1409

211Oct

331 Oct

131Oct

220 Oct

465

Oct

150 Oct

230 Oct

261 Oct

45 Aug

46 Jul

39 Jun

41 Jul

62 Jul

30 Jun

44 Aug

24 Aug

Table 3: Monthly and yearly averaged daily values of Temperature, Relative Humidity and accumulated

Precipitations in the stations analysed.

Clearness Index: averaged values and frequency distribution

image089

The monthly averaged daily data of KT are depicted in Fig. 4 for five stations. It can be noticed that the station of Ancares is the one with the highest values of the index all over the year; it can be explained because of its altitude, rural environment and relatively cloud-free atmosphere. These values have a maximum in summertime.

The lowest clearness indexes are found in Pedro Murias and Lourizan. The first station, located in a rural environment, is characterized by high values of relative humidity that produce, together with low values of temperature (Table 3) and persistent fogs, especially in summertime. The station of Lourizan, located in an urban environment, is characterized by the lowest values of relative

humidity (77% yearly average) and the highest value of temperature (table 3). These features suggest that low values of KT are produced by anthropogenic aerosols, generated by local factories and urban pollution.

The station of Ferrol, despite of its suburban location, close to a sea port, has values of KT higher than Lourizan, due to the presence of winds that clean up the atmosphere from aerosols and fogs.

3.1 Ground data vs. satellite observations

Yearly and monthly averaged daily values of global irradiation collected in the meteorological stations were compared with the averaged values derived from satellite images and collected in the Solar Atlas of Galicia [4].

Figure 5 shows, for the stations analyzed, the distribution of the yearly averaged daily values measured by pyranometers at five stations versus the estimated values by Vazquez et al. [4]. Global irradiances estimated from satellite images overestimates the data collected by the meteorological stations in every location, except in Ancares. In three cases (Ancares, Ferrol and Corrubedo) the agreement between ground and satellite is quite good, with relative differences less than 3% (Table 4). In the other sites, differences are higher, ranging from 10.7% (Alto do Rodicio) to 25.3% (Sergude). Relative differences in the monthly averaged daily values are greater, up till 76%. Mainly, overestimations by ground measurements occur during winter.

image090

Fig. 5: Distribution of the yearly mean values of global irradiation for the stations analyzed

The reason for these disagreements may be found in the normalization of the satellite data adopted by Vazquez et al. [4]. To obtain monthly averaged daily values, the authors apply only one coefficient for the entire region, instead of dividing the territory in areas characterized by similar climatologic features and calculating different normalization coefficients for each area. In their work, Vazquez et al. [4], compare their results only with one station, obtaining a very good agreement. For that, they assume the goodness of the results achieved for the entire region that is, as previously stated, characterized by complex topography and high climatologic variability.

Table 4: Relative differences (satellite-pyranometer) between the yearly and monthly averaged daily values

of global irradiation in the location analysed.

Month

Ferrol

Lourizan

Murias

Rodicio

Aloia

Corrubedo

Ancares

Sergude

Jan

-3.9

8.7

16.2

-2.4

3.7

-5.2

-23.6

24.7

Feb

-5.9

-7.7

9.2

-9.0

1.3

-17.7

-23.6

42.2

Mar

13.5

44.0

23.2

22.0

36.6

18.7

10.4

32.2

Apr

-3.06

19.5

12.7

13.5

13.4

1.0

1.8

36.4

May

0.8

19.9

12.6

13.6

11.8

-0.2

-1.4

23.4

Jun

2.8

13.0

24.2

15.1

13.1

5.8

-0.2

29.7

Jul

6.9

34.8

21.2

18.4

18.9

9.5

-4.5

16.4

Ago

-1.5

8.4

18.4

10.3

13.7

3.0

-8.5

12.2

Sep

2.9

-4.9

19.9

4.9

8.5

7.3

-1.8

21.9

Oct

6.4

3.6

75.9

-10.6

15.4

0.6

6.2

22.4

Nov

14.3

26.8

25.5

24.6

5.8

-16.1

1.1

19.3

Dec

6.2

11.6

15.1

1.3

0.5

-6.3

-17.9

18.1

Avg

2.7

15.0

18.2

10.7

13.4

2.7

-2.2

25.3

4. Conclusions

The evaluation of the solar resource in eight sites of Galicia has been carried out for the period 2001-2006. The analysis of global irradiation, sunshine hours, clearness index, together with other meteorological parameters — precipitations, relative humidity and temperature — allowed a characterization of the solar resource in this region.

Monthly averaged daily values of global radiation and sunshine hours point out the complex climatology of the Galician territory. In an area of less than 30.000 km2, distributed over 2° of latitude and longitude, differences in the yearly mean daily values of global irradiation of more than 3 MJm-2 per day were found between the locations considered. This range of variability in the values of global irradiation is comparable to that of Germany (Meteonorm; Bern, Switzerland).

In the same way, yearly averaged daily values of sunshine duration show differences of almost 2 hours per day between the sites.

The analysis of precipitations, temperature and relative humidity, combined with the study of solar radiation, evidence the presence of persistent fogs in particular zones of Galicia. The station of Pedro Murias represents the most remarkable example. In the same way, the analysis of the solar radiation combined with the mean values of precipitations points out that extremely rainy areas, as that represented by the station of Monte Aloia, are not necessarily associated with low insolation.

The complexity of the Galician climate comes also out analysing the mean values of the clearness index: while the highest values are found in high elevation sites, as a consequence of a clearer atmosphere, the lowest values occur in Lourizan and Pedro Murias due, respectively, to the urban pollution and to persistent fog episodes.

The comparison of solar irradiation ground measurements vs. satellite observations gives the opportunity for making several remarks. The solar irradiation maps obtained by Vazquez et al. [4] evidence two different trends: a) the incoming solar radiation increases with the decreasing latitude and b) coastal zones receive more radiation than the inner nearby areas.

The ground measurements of global irradiation recorded in eight sites of Galicia depict a much more complex pattern not so easy to generalize. The latitude effect seems to be inexistent or, at least, is masked by more important local climatologic factors. Thus, Corrubedo and Lourizan, being at the same latitude, show yearly averaged daily differences of 2 MJ m-2. The same

differences are found in Ferrol and Pedro Murias, that have similar geographical features. In these areas, Vazquez et al. found differences of 0.36 MJ m-2 per day.

The stations of Ferrol and Alto do Rodicio, located respectively in the coast and in the interior, have similar mean values of irradiation even they are separated by 1° in latitude. The highest levels of radiation are found in Corrubedo and Ancares, located at the same latitude, but respectively on the western and eastern edges of Galicia. All these facts drive to the conclusion that the distribution of the solar resource in a region such as Galicia cannot be explained without the support of other climatologic and topographic features.

The present work was intended for characterizing the solar resource in eight sites of Galicia over a period of 5 years. In the future, the data record will increase also due to the installation of 17 more first class pyranometers and 30 pyranometers with Photovoltaic sensor. This will allow a more detailed characterization of the solar resource in time and space.

Due to the complex topography and climatology of Galicia, this will not be enough to obtain solar maps of the region since, in these cases, interpolation techniques do not provide sufficiently reliable results [11]. However, data from this solar radiation network will represent a very important tool to validate and calibrate the methods to estimate the solar resource.

Acknowledgements

Meteorological dataset provided by MeteoGalicia (Xunta de Galicia) from its web page is acknowledged This work was partially funded by Galician R&D Programme under project 07REM02CT.

References

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