Modelling the Welsh Housing stock

Computer Thermal Modelling using TRNSYS [9] and ECOTECT [10] software programmes provided an estimate of the thermal demands in the dwelling types modelled, as well as the potential carbon savings achievable through changing the heating, cooling and DHW demands from being primarily met by natural gas to primarily met by Solar Thermal. An existing dwelling was chosen to be representative for each of the housing types highlighted in Error! Reference source not found. and was then physically surveyed in detail [3]. Each dwelling was then modelled in ECOTECT before exporting the physical details into the TRNSYS simulation software to undertaken the energy demand assessments.

Подпись: Figure 2. ECOTECT model of house type 3

Only 12 out of the 13 housing types have been modelled to date — the most recent house type has not yet been modelled. The ECOTECT model for the largest dwelling, house 3, is shown in figure 2 as an example of the modelling undertaken. This image shows how the Solar Thermal collectors have been arranged for this property for the purposes of assessing the potential solar yield.

Table 2. Predicted annual energy demands for electricity, space heating, space cooling and domestic hot water

No

Dwelling type

Area

(m2)

Elec Use (kWh) (kWh/m2)

Space Heating (kWh) (kWh/m2)

Space Cooling (kWh) (kWh/m2)

DHW

(kWh)

Total

thermal

(kWh)

1

Pre-1850 Detached House

87.27

3,090

35.41

11,139

127.6

30

0.3

2,170

13,339

2

Pre-1850 Converted Flat

103.52

3,090

29.85

24,896

240.5

89

0.9

2,170

27,155

3

1850-1919 Semi Detached House

220.09

3,090

14.04

48,402

219.9

24

0.1

2,170

50,596

4

1920-1944 Semi Detached House

93.32

3,090

33.11

19,855

212.8

56

0.6

2,170

22,081

5

1945 — 1964 Low-rise Flat

65.74

3,090

47

8,975

136.5

133

2.0

2,170

11,278

6

1945-1964 Semi-detached House

89.17

3,090

34.65

14,145

158.6

293

3.3

2,170

16,608

7

1965-1980 Detached House

116.72

3,090

26.47

17,667

151.4

99

0.8

2,170

19,936

8

1965-1980 Mid-terrace House

105.42

3,090

29.31

16,691

158.3

69

0.7

2,170

18,930

9

1981-1999 Low-rise Flat

44.70

3,090

69.13

3,636

81.3

525

11.7

2,170

6,331

10

1981-1999 Mid-terrace House

55.82

3,090

55.36

5,949

106.6

124

2.2

2,170

8,243

11

2000-2006 Semi-detached House

74.92

3,090

41.24

10,645

142.1

25

0.3

2,170

12,840

12

Post-2006 High-rise Flat

57.47

3,090

53.77

2,393

41.6

234

4.1

2,170

4,797

Table 2, taken from Ampatzi [5], presents the main details and findings of this thermal

modelling. This

version has been amended to include m2 figures for each dwelling as well as electricity demands.

It can be seen that the dwellings thermal demand generally reduces per m2 as their construction date gets closer to the present day. It can also be seen that the internal gains from electricity use also become more important in the overall energy balance as the houses become newer. There are anomalies as would be expected from Case Studies — in particular House 1 which is explained by it being a very energy efficient refurbishment. Interestingly, this house compares very favourably with House 11 built to 2000 regulations, showing the potential for bringing old housing stock back into use.